At a glance
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh indicated the Fed may resume raising rates if inflation doesn't retreat, as job growth was revised down 79,000 and corporate profits soared to post-WWII highs while worker pay shrank. Tariff pass-through to consumers has begun.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh signaled the Fed could resume raising interest rates if inflation doesn't decline, even as job growth was revised down by 79,000 and worker pay continues to shrink. Meanwhile, corporate profits hit post-WWII highs, and tariff pass-through to consumers has already started hitting prices. The picture this creates is stark: companies are making record money while workers are earning less and hiring is slowing.
Raising rates now would be deliberately tightening credit while the job market already softens. The Fed's logic—that inflation still poses a threat—collides with the reality that corporate pricing power, not worker demand, is driving inflation. Tariffs are about to make this worse. Rate hikes would hit borrowers, businesses with debt, and anyone looking for work, while corporations sitting on record profits face minimal pressure to cut prices or invest in workers.
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