Our suite of frontier AI models, trained on dozens of historical examples of institutional failure, reviews the most relevant events each day to warn you when to leave — before it’s too late.
Unchanged from yesterday's 50.
Conditions deteriorating. Make your exit plan.
The U.S. is now actively destroying Iranian tankers while the Pentagon hunts internal leakers, signaling both military escalation and an administration tightening its grip on classified information.
An undeclared war combined with internal purges and record fuel prices creates the kind of compounding instability that historically shrinks the window for calm, deliberate exit planning.
Watch whether Congress formally authorizes military action against Iran or whether the leak investigation expands beyond Joint Staff — either would signal a sharper turn toward executive unchecked power.
The current situation most closely mirrors Poland 2018–2020, with echoes of Turkey 2014–2015 added by the presence of an active external military conflict used to justify information control.
The U.S. sits in a mid-to-late institutional pressure phase, where courts are still blocking some executive overreach but the cumulative erosion of norms is measurable and accelerating.
In both historical cases, the window of effective judicial and civil resistance narrowed within one to two election cycles, and those who delayed exit planning found their options significantly reduced.
YOUR PLAN
The score tells you the temperature. A plan tells you what to do about it.
Pentagon hunts for Iran war leaks as military strikes Iranian tankers
The simultaneous conduct of undisclosed offensive military operations and an internal loyalty purge suggests the administration is prioritizing information control over democratic oversight at a moment of genuine war risk.
Federal judge again blocks Trump's mail-in voting restrictions
Repeated executive attempts to restrict voting access heading into midterms, paired with immediate DOJ appeals, indicate the administration views electoral rules as a lever to pull rather than a norm to respect.
Gas prices hit record highs as Trump threatens Canada trade war
When a majority of Canadians now view the U.S. as an enemy and diesel hits $5.85 at Labor Day, the economic pain of current policy is becoming visceral enough to alter both household decisions and allied relationships.
FREQUENTLY ASKED
The Exit Signal Score is a daily 0–100 assessment of US stability generated by an ensemble of independent AI models. Each model reads the same daily briefing and scores the situation independently. The scores are averaged to produce a consensus, and all individual scores are displayed because no single model should be trusted alone.
The score is re-computed every day. A fresh daily briefing is generated from global news and social media signals, then sent to all multiple models for independent scoring. New scores typically appear each morning.
No. The Exit Signal Score describes present conditions, not a recommendation. It is a preparedness tool that tells you how worried to be — not what to do. Higher scores suggest more active preparation; they do not tell anyone to leave. CONTINGENCYPLAN.AI does not give financial, legal, immigration, or political advice.
Any single model carries its own biases, training cutoff, and blind spots. Running the same briefing through six independent models and averaging their scores reduces the influence of any one model’s idiosyncrasies. When all models agree, the signal is strong. When they disagree, that disagreement is itself useful information.
Every model receives the same daily briefing: clustered news events from global and US sources, summarized and categorized. Models do not have live internet access during scoring. They score based only on the briefing, so the score reflects the events in the briefing, not each model’s separate view of the world.