At a glance
Kalshi, a US prediction market platform, launched new safeguards after insider trading concerns hit the sector. The moves signal growing regulatory pressure on prediction markets.
Kalshi, a U.S. prediction market platform that lets users bet on election outcomes and other events, announced new safeguards addressing insider trading concerns. The moves come after the prediction market sector faced scrutiny when it appeared traders with nonpublic information were profiting on contract movements ahead of major news events. Kalshi's safeguards include trader identification and trade monitoring.
Prediction markets are attractive precisely because they aggregate dispersed information into price signals. But that only works if the market isn't being gamed by people with secret knowledge. Insider trading in prediction markets is hard to police because the trader doesn't need to be affiliated with the company or entity involved—anyone with advance knowledge can profit. Kalshi's safeguards signal regulatory pressure is rising, and the platform is trying to get ahead of it. The sector likely faces more regulation ahead, which could either make prediction markets safer or reduce their appeal to traders who liked the earlier lack of oversight.
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