At a glance
Brent crude surged past $100 and WTI reached $92 as the US military conducted its 13th consecutive night of strikes on Iran. Houthis continue attacking shipping, creating a second choke point after the Strait of Hormuz.
Brent crude surged past $100 and WTI hit $92 as two supply shocks hit simultaneously. The US military conducted its 13th consecutive night of strikes on Iran, and Houthis continued attacking ships in the Red Sea, forcing cargo to reroute around Africa. Together, these created a second major chokepoint after the Strait of Hormuz—essentially two different threats squeezing global energy supplies.
Oil at $100 isn't a crisis price yet, but it's a warning sign. The risk isn't the current level—it's what happens if either conflict escalates. A direct hit on Iranian oil infrastructure or a major attack on a tanker would push prices much higher, fast. Shipping reroutes are already adding weeks to delivery times and raising costs. The pattern here is that two separate conflicts are compounding each other, and neither shows signs of de-escalating. Gas prices are still relatively stable, but that's partly because markets haven't yet priced in the full risk of things getting worse.
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