At a glance
A new political projection found Trump is trailing in 47 states and DC combined. The forecast suggests he's headed for a major midterm defeat unless momentum shifts.
A new political projection found Trump trailing in 47 states plus DC combined. The forecast suggests he's headed for a major midterm defeat unless his political standing shifts dramatically. Being underwater in 47 states is essentially a catastrophic polling position.
Midterm elections usually favor the party out of power. But these projections are showing Trump struggling not just to win back the presidency but to even hold ground in basic swing states. A midterm defeat of this scale would reshape the political landscape heading into 2028.
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